The political evolution of J.D. Vance

This episode delves into the surprising political transformation of J.D. Vance from a staunch Trump critic to his running mate in the 2024 election.

1. J.D. Vance's political stance shifted significantly from being an outspoken Trump critic to becoming his running mate.
2. Vance's early criticisms of Trump included severe comparisons and disapproval of his suitability for office.
3. His transformation is viewed through the lens of political ambition and the influence of powerful backers.
4. The episode raises questions about the authenticity of political figures and the alignment of their public statements with personal beliefs.
5. Vance's support for Trump is portrayed as opportunistic, contingent on Trump's own political strength.

1. Introduction

Elsa Chang introduces the topic of J.D. Vance's political transformation. Discussed are Vance's early criticisms of Trump and his rise to fame with "Hillbilly Elegy."

• Elsa Chang: "JD Vance has made his opinion clear. The simple fact is he's the best president of my lifetime. Or has he? I'm a never Trump guy. I never liked him."

2. Political Shift

Discussion on Vance's shift in political stance towards Trump post-2020 election, analyzing the reasons and implications of his changed views.

• JD Vance: "Was the election in 2020 free and fair? Was it above board? And my answer is no, I really don't think that it was."

3. Analysis by David Frum

David Frum provides insights into Vance's early political positions and contrasts them with his current stances, focusing on his foreign policy shifts and support for cryptocurrency.

• David Frum: "He was a believer in American world leadership, very much the opposite of what he is now."

1. Evaluate Politicians' Consistency: Keep track of politicians' historical statements and stances to assess their consistency and reliability.
2. Understand the Influence of Backers: Research who financially supports political figures to understand potential influences on their policies.
3. Scrutinize Political Transformations: Be critical of significant shifts in political stances, especially during election cycles.
4. Assess Foreign Policy Impacts: Consider how politicians' foreign policy positions could affect national and global stability.
5. Educate Yourself on Cryptocurrency Policies: Understand the implications of political endorsements of technologies like cryptocurrency.

When President Biden heard that Donald Trump had picked J.D. Vance to be his running mate, he called the Ohio senator "a clone" of Trump. But when Vance first gained national attention, he was one of Trump's loudest critics.

Vance first drew the national spotlight in 2016 with the publication of his memoir "Hillbilly Elegy." The book served as a biography of his upbringing in America's Rust Belt and social commentary on the white working class at a time when many were trying to understand those voting for Donald Trump.

On the press tour for that book Vance had a lot of negative things to say about Donald Trump. He said Trump was unfit for the nation's highest office, and in unearthed private messages, he compared Trump to Adolf Hitler.

J.D Vance went from New York Times bestselling author, to senator, to Vice Presidential candidate. That political journey has brought him closer and closer to a presidential candidate he once professed to despise.

People

J.D. Vance, Donald Trump, David Frum

Companies

Merrell, Bank of America

Books

Hillbilly Elegy

Guest Name(s):

David Frum

Content Warnings:

None

Elsa Chang
When it comes to Donald Trump, JD Vance has made his opinion clear. The simple fact is he's the best president of my lifetime. Or has he? I'm a never Trump guy. I never liked him.

That was Vance speaking to Charlie Rose back in 2016. At the time, Vance had entered the national spotlight because of the success of his memoir, Hillbilly Elegy, which served as both biography of his upbringing in America's Rust Belt and social commentary on the white working class. And on his press tour, he had a lot of negative things to say about Donald Trump. Here he was speaking to fresh air's Terry gross. I can't stomach Trump.

JD Vance
I think that he's noxious and is leading the white working class to a very dark place. In public, Vance said that Trump was, quote, unfit for our nation's highest office. In unearthed private messages, he compared Trump to Adolf Hitler. So how did the JD Vance of 2016 become Donald Trump's 2024 running mate? Well, just listen to Vance talk about the 2020 election.

Was the election in 2020 free and fair? Was it above board? And my answer is no, I really don't think that it was. Or listen to Vance talk about the many criminal cases against Donald Trump. This is not about prosecuting Trump for something that he did.

It's about throwing him off the ballot because Democrats feel that they can't beat him at the ballot box, and so they're trying to defeat him in court. Now, Trump counts JD Vance as one of his loudest and strongest supporters, and that support has paid off. On Monday, Trump selected the Ohio senator to be his running mate. The crowd at the RNC in Milwaukee erupted at the announcement. JD.

Crowd at the RNC
JD. JD. JD. J. Consider this from New York Times bestselling author to state senator to vice presidential candidate, JD Vance's political journey has brought him closer and closer to a presidential candidate he once professed to despise.

Elsa Chang
Coming up, we try to make sense of that transformation.

From NPR, I'm Elsa Chang.

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Elsa Chang
Truth, independence, fairness, transparency, respect, excellence. Is NPR its consider this from NPR. When President Biden heard that Donald Trump had picked JD Vance to be his running mate, he called the Ohio senator a, quote, clone of Trump. But when Vance first gained national attention, he was one of Trumps loudest critics. We wanted to dig deeper into Vances political path, so we called up someone who knew him, David Frum.

He's a senior editor for the Atlantic. Welcome. Thank you. So you wrote a piece back in 2022 in the Atlantic which was called the JD Vance. I knew.

If you had to sum up who that JD Vance was, how would you sum him up? Well, in the early two thousands, JD Vance, who is not then yet famous, not then yet. The author of Hillbilliology, not then yet. I even a Yale law student back then, he was in a movement shared by many of us who were looking for a way forward to a more moderate and modern conservatism. After the financial crisis and after the Iraq war, he had been a veteran of the Marine Corps.

David Frum
He was. Back then he was a strong advocate of national defense. Back then, he was a believer in american world leadership, very much the opposite of what he is now. He was also groping his way forward to a new kind of politics. He was recognized by everyone as an emerging political talent, and everyone who knew him understood this was someone who was on his way to being somebody important.

He had this extraordinary personal story, and a lot of us hoped that he would be the leader of modern moderate republicanism. You mentioned hillbilly elegy. This is the 2016 memoir, which in a way functioned as well as sort of a social commentary on the white working class. Could you talk a little bit about the reception of the book at the time and what that said about Vance? The reception of the book was euphoric, but not euphoria from the people JD Vance was writing about.

The book was taken up by professional America, liberal America, political America, looking for an explanation of the Trump phenomenon, but also one that was sympathetic and not too upsetting. And that's what JD Vance offered, was a story about what had just happened in american politics in a way that was palatable and didn't raise some of the really dark fears that we've had to contend with since Trump became president, since the January 6 attack and attempt to overthrow an election. Mm hmm. Well, let's remind people, during the 2016 election, JD Vance characterized himself as a never Trump guy. Right?

Elsa Chang
Like he has called Trump, and I'm using his words, reprehensible, an idiot, suggesting even once that Trump might be, quote, America's Hitler. And then in the last few years, Vance has established himself as a Trump loyalist. How do you explain why Vance, or how Vance has evolved from what he was in 2016 to being Trump's running mate today? Well, let me just start with a personal theory. I think conscious hypocrisy is a very rare behavior in human beings.

David Frum
I don't think the human mind is organized to consistently say one thing and believe another. What we say and what we believe will, one way or another, come into harmony. Either we bring our words into line with our thoughts or we bring our thoughts into line with our words. So I'm not suggesting that JD Vance doesn't believe what he says today. I'm just saying that doesn't necessarily have much connection with what he said yesterday.

And it's not a sure predictor of what he will say tomorrow. And the dissent I would make from the Biden campaign when they call him a clone of Trump is, I don't think that's true. And I don't think if I were Donald Trump, I would count on that. JD Vance will be a Trump loyalist as long as Trump is powerful. If Trump falters, the loyalty may vanish very rapidly.

Elsa Chang
How connected do you think Vance and Trump are to the people they will have to persuade to vote for them in November? I think Donald Trump does have this kind of deep connection to people who are very different from him. This flamboyant New York expert in commercial fraud who wears makeup and this strange new and Brioni suits and ties that are too long and flies around in a jet and is the embodiment of 1980s success, that he could become this repository of the hopes of so many people who are so different from him? I don't think JD Vance is quite that. One of the things that's very strange, when he was nominated or when he was selected, there was great euphoria in the cryptocurrency press that an advocate of cryptocurrency, which JD Vance is, had got onto the presidential ticket.

David Frum
You think, how is it helpful to the people about whom he wrote in Hill biology to make it easier for the cryptocurrency industry to prey on them? Right. What do you make of that? It's a very american story that people come from one place and move to another place, and they take on the characteristics. You start in Ohio, you go to Silicon Valley, and Silicon Valley offers you things that Ohio cannot offer, and so you adapt to Silicon Valley.

I think that his turn from the foreign policy I knew when I knew him, to his now being the voice of opposition to aiding Ukraine and other Us allies, to voting against the package that was not only for Ukraine but also for Taiwan and for Israel, I think that reflects a lot more the values of the people who are funding his operations, the value of his new friends, the value of the people who put him on his way than it does people in Ohio who I imagine probably have the same views that they did in the Reagan time and the George W. Bush time, that american credit is important, that America's word matters and America's cause is just and its allies should be protected. So do you think ultimately it's ambition that drives JD Vance, it's ambition that defines JD Vance. I think that that's true of a lot of people in politics. But the question when I've had a chance to interview politicians, I always ask them is, what is the issue over which you'd be willing to lose if you had to give up your career?

What is it that would make you give up your career? As ambitious as people are, they usually do have some lying, something they won't do. Mm hmm. Do you think JD Vance has a line? I think he walked across it.

I think he told us in advance what it was. It was Donald Trump, and he walked across it. David Frum is a senior editor at the Atlantic. Thank you so much for speaking with us today. Thank you.

Elsa Chang
This episode was produced by Mark Rivers. It was edited by Courtney Dorning. Our executive producer is Sammy Yenigun. And one more thing before we go. You can now enjoy the consider this newsletter.

We still help you break down a major story of the day, but you will also get to know our producer, producers and hosts and some moments of joy from the AlL THINGs CONSidered team. You can sign up@npr.org consider this newsletter.

It's Consider this from NPR. I'm Ilsa Chang.

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