Primary Topic
This episode discusses the groundbreaking approval of the Ethereum ETF by the SEC and its implications for the crypto industry.
Episode Summary
Main Takeaways
- The Ethereum ETF approval signifies Ether's recognition as a commodity in the U.S.
- The approval opens a significant capital pipeline from traditional finance to Ethereum.
- The decision provides much-needed regulatory relief to the crypto industry.
- The crypto community played a crucial role in influencing the SEC's decision.
- Future prospects include potential staked Ethereum ETFs and other crypto asset ETFs.
Episode Chapters
1: Introduction
The hosts introduce the episode, recounting the anticipation and final announcement of the Ethereum ETF approval.
- "We were about to log off. I can't. I can't deal with another false alarm. David, it's approved." - David Hoffman
- "Let's go. Let's fucking go. Let's fucking go, James." - Ryan Sean Adams
2: Significance of the Approval
The hosts discuss the implications of the Ethereum ETF approval for the crypto market and regulatory landscape.
- "This clarifies Ethereum's status in the U.S. as a commodity." - David Hoffman
- "This creates a massive new pipeline of capital to flow from tradfi to Ethereum." - Ryan Sean Adams
3: Political and Regulatory Context
James Seyffart joins to explain the SEC’s decision-making process and the political influences behind the approval.
- "This is a complete political shift from what I understand." - James Seyffart
- "The crypto vote, the crypto community had their voice heard in DC." - David Hoffman
4: Market Impact and Future Prospects
Discussion on the market impact, potential inflows, and the future of crypto ETFs, including staked Ethereum ETFs.
- "We might expect inflows similar to Bitcoin ETFs but slightly lower due to Ethereum's utility." - James Seyffart
- "A staked version of an Ethereum ETF could change the narrative to a yield-bearing asset." - David Hoffman
5: Conclusion and Final Thoughts
The episode concludes with final thoughts on the approval, its implications, and a look ahead to future developments in the crypto ETF space.
- "Monumental week with the approval of the Ethereum ETF." - David Hoffman
- "This approval demarcates both Bitcoin and Ethereum as not securities." - James Seyffart
Actionable Advice
- Diversify Your Portfolio: Consider adding Ethereum to diversify your crypto investments.
- Stay Informed: Follow regulatory changes and approvals to make informed investment decisions.
- Engage Politically: Participate in community actions to influence crypto-related regulatory decisions.
- Explore Staking: Understand the benefits and risks of staking Ethereum to maximize returns.
- Utilize Crypto Platforms: Use secure and reliable platforms like Kraken for trading and investing in crypto.
- Monitor Market Trends: Keep an eye on market trends and inflows to anticipate shifts in the crypto landscape.
- Leverage Educational Resources: Utilize available resources to deepen your understanding of crypto assets and their implications.
- Plan for Long-Term: Consider the long-term potential of crypto assets in your investment strategy.
- Assess Risks: Regularly evaluate the risks associated with crypto investments and adjust accordingly.
- Network with Experts: Engage with industry experts and analysts to stay updated on market developments.
About This Episode
The Ether spot ETF has officially been approved marking a landmark day for Ethereum and crypto as a whole. We're going live today to discuss the extent of this approval and what it means for Ether the asset, and more broadly the entire crypto industry. This is a big deal and we're stoked to be sharing this moment live with the Bankless Nation.
People
Gary Gensler, Joe Lubin, Eric Balchunas
Companies
Bloomberg, Kraken, Coinbase, Grayscale
Books
None
Guest Name(s):
James Seyffart
Content Warnings:
None
Transcript
David Hoffman
Bankless nation. It happened. The Ethereum ETF has been officially approved. Last week, all the best ETF analysts told us ETF approval was just not happening. But then today it happened.
We got a complete 180 pivot from the SEC. So David and I were on a live stream. We were just, like, waiting and watching for this to happen. It was like watching paint dry, and we were about to leave the live stream. David had to go do something when we got this confirmation tweet from Bloomberg analyst James Safer.
I want to play a clip of what that felt like. Guys, we got to go do things. I'm sorry, we have to go. You guys man the screens for us, okay? And let us know.
I'll be checking my phone. Don't, don't, don't. James Safer. James Safer. Don't, don't.
We were about to log off. I can't. I can't deal with another false alarm. David, it's approved. Shut up.
Ryan Sean Adams
Let's go. Let's fucking go. Let's fucking go, James. Get him on. Get him on.
David Hoffman
Get him on the podcast. So we did get James on the podcast shortly after that. That's actually the episode you are about to hear. And I'm sure you heard the excitement in our voices, and here's why we were excited. Number one, this clarifies Ethereum status in the US.
It's never had this before, but Ethereum can no longer be called a security in any courtroom, in any institution, anywhere. Ether, the asset, is a commodity in the US, and that is big. Number two, this creates a massive new pipeline of capital to flow from tradfi to Ethereum. That's big in and of itself. And number three, and I think in some ways this was the biggest.
This is regulatory relief to a crypto industry that has been under relentless assault from the us government and in particular from the SEC. And here's the biggest thing, I think probably the most exciting thing about this news, and you heard it in our voices. We helped to make this happen. And by we, I mean us. I mean you.
I mean the bankless nation. I mean the crypto community. Our voice, our votes, our actions actually put political pressure on the SEC chair, Gary Gensler, to last minute approve an ETF that he wanted nothing more than to deny. The battle's not over for crypto. We've got many fights ahead, but let's enjoy this victory for a moment.
We've got Bloomberg analyst James Seyffert coming right up. He tells us how this story happened, how the Ethereum ETF approval unfolded what to expect next. So we talk price, we talk inflows, we talk who are the issuers. We talk a future staked ETH ETF when we can expect to see that, and also what the next crypto ETF might look like. Let's get right into the episode with James, but before we do, we want to thank the sponsors that made this possible, including our number one recommended crypto exchange for 2024 that is Kraken.
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David Hoffman
He is an analyst at Bloomberg. He is an ETF expert. And we just got some incredible news, exciting news, I think, for the crypto community. James, what just happened? Yeah, I mean, the SEC came out and just accelerated and approved every ETH filing that got in there.
James Seyffert
19 before. So this is a 19 before order. And what that really is, it's a rule change proposal. Basically, all these exchanges, they had to do this with the bitcoin ETF's too. You have to basically submit these filings and ask the SEC to change a rule.
In this case, the rule is we want to trade Ethereum ETF's. In the case of bitcoin, it was we want to trade bitcoin ETF's and the SEC has to go through and basically say, this is allowed. So this is the first step. There's two main steps before these things can begin trading. And this is number one.
David Hoffman
So this is the number one. It's also the big one. Right. Because it's the thing that has been, the SEC has been reluctant to say. So that's the 19 b.
I think we've got some of the issuers on the screen, but I think there's maybe more. You mentioned, did you say 1719? Something like this? I've got a number. No, no, no.
James Seyffert
That's all of them. Plus the grayscale mini. But actually hash decks didn't, didn't submit a 19 before, so they're not actually going to launch one. It doesn't look like. Ok, so are there more issuers, fewer issuers or is this pretty much similar to the issuers for the bitcoin ETF?
There are less issuers here, and especially if you take into account. So. Right. If you include grayscale. So grayscale.
Everyone's been talking about that bitcoin mini trust. I'm not sure if you guys are familiar, but especially they're spinning out ten or 15% of GBDC into the smaller ETF. It's called a grayscale mini bitcoin trustees as such. Right, exactly. We don't know exactly.
If you. I think people are saying it's going to be 15 basis points. It's going to be the lowest fee. They're doing the same thing with ETH and they filed that in here. So that's also going to launch at some point in the near future.
But essentially grayscale is going to launch two of these things. I don't know if the ETH mini trust is going to be included. I haven't had a chance to really dive deep into this filing since it just dropped. But I've skimmed through it. There's a lot here to go through.
There's 23 pages. So as soon as we get off of this, I'm going to basically have to dive into that. Okay. So when you say boom, approved, you're talking about all of those filings were just approved all at once. I think this is pretty crazy because of the setup here, which is, it was like Friday of last week.
David Hoffman
It looked like none of this stuff was going to be approved. Right. Like, you didn't see any movement on your side as you're going through the paperwork and stuff here. Here's a tweet from a Friday, which is. It's just not happening, guys.
Sorry. And I think you tweeted that, James, because, like, it didn't look like it was happening. I guess the, the broadest of questions here. Did the SEC just do like a 180 on this or like, what is going on? How did we get from here?
It's not happening. There's no signs of movement to Monday. Suddenly, I think either you or Eric Balchunis had tweeted this out where. Yeah, your, your probability of approval just, just shot up to 75% on Monday. When, like, on Friday, it was like near, near, near zero.
James Seyffert
Yeah. So early afternoon, we started hear rumblings and we were like, this can't be true, can it? Like, can this actually be happening? And, like, we were scrambling. So we know people that are like, somewhat in the process.
Some people are like, outside, but kind of know what's going on. We have a lot of people we talk to in the space. Obviously, there's a lot of signs and tea leaves we read, but we also have sources that we're talking to trying to make sure we're getting this stuff right. And we had one or two people tell us, yeah, something's happening. And then we got more and more people be like, yeah, this is insane.
I can't believe this is happening. And that was Monday afternoon. And that's when. So Eric and I actually were on the phone for like 30 minutes going over like fine tooth comb about exactly what we wanted to tweet because we knew it was going to be market moving. We actually offered it to Bloomberg News and, and they didn't want to put it out there yet.
David Hoffman
So, because they, because it seems so tenuous, it seems so odd, so last minute. But we trusted our sources and obviously we were, we were very, we didn't think it was going to happen. As you see, I tweeted that on Friday. Life comes at you fast. But what explains this?
James Seyffert
It's the, it's the political wins. It has to be like people are trying to say, this was always the case. Like, that is not what happened here. This is a complete shift from what I understand specifically the division that approves those 19 B four s. Theyre called the division of trading and markets.
Theyre mainly worried about fair, efficient, orderly markets. Thats what their whole thing is. And with these 19 B four s, they want to make sure theres no fraud, manipulation, things like that. So these ETF's, these products cant help other people commit fraud, manipulation or get stuck with other people doing fraud, manipulation. Thats what most of this is about.
That division, from what we hear, didnt know about this until late last week. They were under the assumption, they were denying. It's not like the SEC knew this was going to happen all the time. We've based on everyone I'm talking to, this is a complete political shift. And if you just look at everything else that has happened here, like you look at some of the polling for the elections, you look at the SAv, 121 votes in the House and then the Senate, and then you look at what happened today with the Fit 21 act, which is a market structure bill for crypto, Trump saying he's pro crypto here.
And there's so many things that point to. The Dems basically decided, we can't go this way. I'll be interested to see at some point. We'll get, there was probably a vote on this. So the last vote was like three to two.
David Hoffman
Right. And Gensler was the kind of breaking tie vote because what is it? The commissioners have to vote. Each of the SEC commissioners have to have to vote. And two voted no.
For the bitcoin ETF, three voted yes, and the third was Gary Gensler. So did this break a similar way or do you know yet? We don't know. We don't know, though. At some point we'll find out.
James Seyffert
I don't know exact timelines of that. It's not on the site now from, I just checked, like, literally 3 seconds ago. But essentially the commission is five member commission, two Dems, two Republicans, and then usually whoever the president is at the time gets to pick the commissioner, which is usually a tiebreak. So the commissioner gets to decide where things go, but it's not impossible to have people break. So it'll be very interesting to see how this goes down.
So Lizaraga in Crenshaw, the two dems other than Gensler, and if one of them, which there's no way it was Crenshaw based, she wrote a dissent letter. She might have. She voted no on that. And then she wrote a dissent letter. Lizaraga did not join her in that dissent letter for approving spot bitcoin, ETF.
So it's theoretically plausible that Gensler was planning to deny and the other debt commissioner wanted to do it, but this is all just speculation, so it'll be interesting to see. So you think this was politically motivated, and that's how it seems. This is how most of the crypto community is sort of interpreting this. But it would also be odd, and I don't expect anyone at the SEC to acknowledge this, least of all Gensler, even if that's what really happened. If what really happened was, like, some phone calls that he got or the SEC got that told them that, hey, this is not worth losing an election over, that won't be acknowledged.
David Hoffman
I've got to imagine, because the SEC is supposed to be politically neutral, it's supposed to be a merit based regulator that looks at the law and approves or denies these things based on their reading of the rules and the law and doesn't get involved in the politics. So that would be contrary to what they say. I can't imagine they would say, hey, it looked like, you know, Biden was going to lose, lose an election here, or it could cost him some votes, and so therefore, we decided to approve it. Right. So, I mean, supposed to be is the keyword you use there.
James Seyffert
Right. And I don't think it's just about the presidential election. I think there's Senate and House elections that people realize they actually care about this. I don't remember exactly who tweeted it, but it's like, I don't know if the numbers are right, but there's thousands of people who are very staunchly pro crypto at the very least, like so, and it's an orders of magnitude greater than the people that are staunchly anti like. They're they're very vocal, but there's, there's just not many people that care about it in a great way.
And I think that kind of got through in the last month or so. Um, and they couldn't let the Republicans do an end around on them on this, on this piece. Right. Um. Do I think the, the Dems are going to come around and just be completely pro crypto now?
Uh, absolutely not. Are they going to be as staunchly against. I don't. I don't think so. I think this is a tide shift, a complete pivot, a 180 from the Dems here.
David Hoffman
I mean, James, this feels really good to a lot of people listening in the crypto community feels like in a world where we don't feel like we have much political agency, it feels like we really had an effect. Like the crypto vote, the crypto community had their voice heard in DC, maybe turn the tide on this latest Friday. This wasn't going to happen. And then things changed, and now it's happening, likely due to politics. I want to ask you the question, though, as to when these ETF products might become available.
Because you said there's two pieces and you said the 19 B, four filings were all approved today. But there's another piece, I believe, before we could start getting these products out there into fidelity accounts, into the rias and all of this. What's the time lag from here until these products actually get released in the market? One, you're 100% correct, and two, the real short answer is we have no idea that's a lie. We have some idea, but we really don't know.
James Seyffert
There's not a ton of precedent here, obviously. But even if you asked me Monday morning, is there any way they can approve? I would have said no way. They don't have enough time to do it. There's just not enough time to do it.
It usually takes weeks, if not months, to get an approval order, but I guess they can work fast when they have to, when they're up against the deadline. So the other process is they need the s one approvals or the prospectus documents, offering documents, depending on what you're used to hearing. But they're just the documents that have all the risk disclosures, exactly how the trust is going to operate. Anyone involved with the fund, that's what's going to be in these documents. And the SEC's division of corporate finance, which is another division, not trading markets.
This is a separate division that has to go through those with the fine tooth comb and these documents are hundreds of pages in many cases, so this is not something that's going to happen overnight. I think if they really want to accelerate it, the gap between the 19 B four approval and s one approval could be weeks. But there are plenty of examples of this taking months. Like, there's examples of it taking five months. I think they'll be faster than that.
The bitcoin ETF's, for example, we know they started in early October and then they were approved in early January, which is three months, 90 some odd days. I think it'll be faster than that. Like I said, I just don't know. We'll have a better idea in the coming week or two, but we just don't know yet. So we don't quite know when exactly the pipeline will open to all of this capital, though.
David Hoffman
That said, this does feel like Ethereum is clearly in the territory of commodity. Now, if the SEC is even capitulating on this and, like, approving a spot, Ethereum ETF, it's going to be basically impossible for the SEC to come back later and argue that Ethereum was an ETF all along. I want to ask the question of what we might expect with respect to inflows. And I think the bitcoin ETF has performed above and beyond even what some of the, like, the biggest bulls were predicting in terms of inflow. Am I right in saying, like, I'm looking at a screen here.
Are we at like close to like 60 billion in terms of total aum and market cap? Are these numbers correct here? Yeah, those numbers are correct. They're like 59 billion ish right now. And, like, gold is like 13 billion.
Gold is like, what, like 90 billion, something like this. Like, we're in. It's around 100. It's just shy of 100, I think. Okay, so what do, what do we expect?
If we've got benchmarks for bitcoin, it's just like, just launched this year and we're already at like 60 billion. Gold is 100 billion. What do we expect for Ethereum? Do, do we have any way of knowing this? Yeah, so, I mean, the two things is, one, a lot of those assets came over with GBTC, right?
James Seyffert
So GBTC came over with like 30 billion in assets when it converted. So, like, just going on assets isn't necessarily the strongest way to do it because that's like a massive head start, right? So if we go on flows, I think that's the better way to do it. And if we look at ETH, which is converting, that has about 11 billion in assets. So that converts over.
That's eleven. But if you just look at flows, the net flows, the ETF, so far, in the first months that we had four months of trading, almost five, they're about 13 billion. I think the number, the flows that are going to come into these Ethereum ETF's are probably going to be something like 20% of the flows that went into bitcoin. And I'm going to explain those numbers. So my colleague Eric Latinos thinks like ten to 15.
I think more like 20. Who actually you're talking about. Yes. Percent of the flows. Yeah.
So if say was 10 billion. So we're talking then we're talking about a billion to 2 billion, maybe, of flows that would come in over the first couple months. And some people were like jumping down our throats, like, that's crazy. It's going to be way higher. But I think people are just.
Those bitcoin ETF's, those flows were. They broke every single record in the book, right? Like first, almost the fastest to a billion. They were the fastest to 10 billion. Ibit did it in 49 days.
The previous record, 49 trading days. The previous record was like 650 trading days. That's like three years. So like, they did it, it's just not even comparable. Right.
So like those numbers, even if you do 10%, that's a very successful launch. But the reason I think 10% is if you look at ETH versus the market back bitcoin, what, 30% right now, I think the number is going to be less than that ratio for a few reasons. One, you lose less with a bitcoin ETF or bitcoin going into an ETF wrapper than you do with eth going into ETF wrapper. The first and obvious one is none of these allows staking. So, like, you're giving up that staking yield by not staking your ETH.
If you're just, you're holding it as an investment. The other thing is, there's a lot more utility with ETH. Like you guys. You're going to use things to do different DeFi protocols, NFTs, you name it, like, it's just way more. There's way more utilitarian value of an ethereum token, right?
In my view. So that's just going to decrease the interest in ETH as an ETF wrapper. That's my personal view. So that's why I think you have to discount that. Again, 30% of the bitcoin size.
I think it's going to be less than that number. I just don't know how much less. Preston, so what does that come out to? So if we get the 10 billion from just like grayscale kind of converting over, what does this come out to? Like about 15 billion all told, something like that compared to bitcoin billion?
Yeah, ten to 15, probably ten to. 15 in that range. Is it also fair to say that tradfi and, like, the institutions understand Ethereum less, like, relative to bitcoin? And what, what do you think the education campaign is like, that's going to happen? Because we saw this, we saw it with, you know, once fidelity had a bitcoin ETF, it was sort of like all these papers and just like, learn about bitcoin.
David Hoffman
All of this educational material kind of went forward. Do you think something similar will happen? And do you think that there's some opportunity for Ethereum to be more broadly understood as a result of this? Because maybe trad five just like, doesn't understand it in comparison to bitcoin? Yeah.
James Seyffert
So I think that's part of it. Right. There's just less interest, I guess I would say, overall, from my experience talking with people in the tradfi world, in the institutional world, there's just less interest in ETH. Like, it's also easier to understand. Like digital gold call option a store of value.
The ETH story is way more complicated. In my view. Digital scarcity is very simple to explain. It's way simpler to explain bitcoin. And a lot of people, when they hear crypto, they just think bitcoin in the space, not all.
There's plenty of people that are educated. There are plenty of people that are interested in this. I think there's going to be a lot of people that are going to look at this and be like, all right, I already have bitcoin at a part of my portfolio. I should diversify my digital asset exposure. And now that ETH are coming, I'm going to put some money in there.
There are some people, obviously, that are going to think that they prefer ETH over bitcoin, but I just think those numbers aren't going to be, like, massive, I guess, is the answer. But at some point, who's saying that can't change. But right now, based on all of my experience and interactions with different people, there's just less demand. And if you look at what happened, so in Hong Kong, they launched bitcoin and ETH. ETH is that they have the assets, 20%, a little less than 20%, I think, is the number I haven't checked in a couple of days of the bitcoin ETF's.
And if you look at the Ethereum futures launch here, that happened in early October of 23, they did nothing like I had very low expectations for the futures ETF's and they did way they did even worse than my expectations. As far as flows goes complete. No one really even cared at all. So I think that just kind of is all pointing to the fact that this is going to be not as big as the bitcoin launches. It's going to take longer for tradfi, I think, to understand Ethereum.
David Hoffman
It's got some more complexities and. Two more questions, James, and then let you go. The part of that education process, probably the upside of that for something like Ethereum is that it gets a couple shots at this. So first, of course there's the vanilla Ethereum ETF, and then at some point there's got to be, I imagine, a staked version of an Ethereum ETF. And once you get into a staked version of an Ethereum ETF, then you start getting into a different narrative conversation, I would imagine, which is like a yield bearing productive asset type of conversation.
But realistically, how far are we away from some sort of next approval of a yield bearing Ethereum staked ETF? Is that like months out? Is that years out? Does that require another round of approval process? What do you think that looks like?
James Seyffert
So one, it probably would require another round of approval process. These do not allow staking these 19 before orders. So I believe you would have to file another. You would have to go through the SEC again to basically say that, can we use staking? They're not allowing it right now.
One of my theories, even back when we thought these ETF's were going to be approved, was we had low odds of these getting approved, but I had extremely low odds of these ETF's allowing staking. I never expected that to happen, not initially. One of my pet theories is everyone, I'm sure you remember back in early May, late April, everyone's like, oh my God, they're going to go after Ethan. Call it a security here. That's why guns are talking to consensus.
That's what the consensus lawsuit that they filed were trying to say. That's what Joe Lubin literally thought he was like, they're coming after Ethereum as a security. And I think he might have been right about that. Before the political tides changed, I think. They were dotting their I's and crossing their t's and trying to look for a way.
My theory was I never really thought they were going to haul eth of security in, what they were going to do as denials. I think they were going to kick it down the road. It opens up a massive can of worms with the CFTC, with the futures market. If they call it a security and they're deemed correct, you have to shut down the futures because the futures are, the ETH futures on the CME are registered as commodities futures. So you can't.
That's for them. Yeah. So the futures would be delisted, then the futures ETF's would be delisted. My pet theory, and I've said this in podcasts before, is I thought they were going to basically try to thread this needle and say that ETH itself, they're not going to call a security, but state EtH might be a security, and they obviously have problems with state Eth. You look at what they're in, Coinbase lawsuits, the Kraken lawsuits, you look at all these different things.
They do not. They think staking is a security, and I don't think they're going to give that up anytime soon. That's broadly my expectation. So we need some clarity. And obviously, with the changes right now going on in Congress, maybe that like provides and speeds up some of that clarity.
David Hoffman
Well, that's right. It does feel like the individuals can think what they want, but it sounds like they can bend to the political pressure as well. Okay, so last question for you, James, and then I'll let you go. I know you want to run through these filings. Are there any other ETF's on the horizon, particularly this cycle?
So people see bitcoin, they see, uh, Ethereum. This is happening like relatively close, months apart. So then they think, what else could get an ETF? Is anything close? Or like, can you just refresh people on how this actually works and, like, how it would happen, what science to look for?
James Seyffert
Yeah. Before I even get there, I want to hit on something that I just thought about. You asked about the security stuff. Um, these things are commodities based trust shares. So the SEC, by approving these, is explicitly saying they're not going to go after ETH itself as a security.
So that's one thing I would just say real quick, because part of the approval process here is they're approved as commodities trusts. This is pretty much a done deal. I will say, personally, I believe the ICO was a securities offering, but that's. A long time ago. That was eight years ago now, right?
Yeah, yeah. And then so what's next? Not much. I don't think anything's happening remotely, anytime remotely soon. You need a regulated futures market, a federally regulated futures market or something, or surveilled futures market before you can get an ETF.
That's clear. I skimmed the document that was in there lately. So the reason these are getting approved is because of the CME ETH futures market. There's a lot of questions about what's going to be deemed a security or a commodity with these other assets. There are some that are, like, pretty much accepted as commodities here.
Like, ironically enough, Doge is almost certainly not going to be deemed a security. Make the same argument. Litecoin is probably in the same camp. No way to know for sure, but those theoretically have the less hard regulatory approval path. But also, is the CME really going to launch Doge futures?
Maybe. I mean, Coinbase, I think, might be trying. Those would be theoretically CFTC regulated. So that could satisfy that. The next one that most people would think about is Sol, which I've seen a lot of talk about that.
Again, you need a regulated market. Unless, like, even if the, even if Congress steps in and does something and clarifies what's a commodity and what isn't, like, even if these things are deemed to be a commodity, it's not just getting approved because it's commodity. The SEC needs somewhere they can surveil. So you need to get some spot markets under surveillance with the SEC, or you need a regulated futures market. And even then, it's not like you get futures and then you automatically get the ETF.
You need some history. These futures listed in 2019, I think, or something like that. It's like 20. I don't even know when it was. It might have been 2021, but you need, like, you need.
You need more history. You need significant capital there. Like if there's $100 million in, like some, like, I don't know, some random tokens, futures contract, and it trades like a little bit every day. Like, that's never going to get approved. Like they're looking at 1 minute candles for correlation to approve these things.
And something that's not trading enough or doesn't have enough assets is not going to help them surveil and look for fraud and manipulation. So I don't think that part of this is ever going to change, no matter what Congress does, but they could theoretically push some of this along. Absolutely. Monumental week here, James, with the approval of the Ethereum ETF, the second crypto asset to be approved in the US as an ETF and clearly demarcating both bitcoin and ethereum as not securities, which is something that we've wanted certainty from and clarity from our regulators for a very long time. So certainly bullish.
David Hoffman
Also bullish that we can politically push things in the right direction. Is there anything else you would leave folks with other lessons from this or the week? You got to be exhausted, man. You going to get some rest after all this or what are you doing next? I'm going to be reading these documents.
Which sounds so exactly. It's probably not the week you thought it would be, huh? Different week? No, not at all. But I will be in consensus next week, so.
James Seyffert
In Austin. So are you going to be there? I know. I obviously know David will be there. So David is scheduled to.
David Hoffman
For a boxing match, so. And I'm scheduled to. I'm going to be there from the comfort of my office actually livestream that. So I'll be here. But if he's there, I'm sure he'll be there and he'll say, hello, James, this has been great.
Where can folks follow you for future updates too? Yeah, I mean, if you are the. If you're a terminal client, that's the. I have like a whole bunch of clients responding to me, so I have to reach out to them right now. But that's the fastest, easiest way and quickest where I'll reply after that.
James Seyffert
For people who don't, it would definitely be Twitter. I'm fairly active there, as probably you and many people know. So, Jseyff, we share a little bit of our research and our work and immediate update stuff, but the real bulk and body of our efforts are unfortunately behind the paywall of the Bloomberg terminal. So if you have access to one, that's where you can find us easiest. Amazing.
David Hoffman
Well, thanks so much, James. Thanks for keeping us up to date on all of this and on a successful week. Congratulations. Another ETF in the world. I know you're an ETF maximalist, so it's a good thing from your perspective.
We certainly appreciate it at bankless as well. Yeah, thanks for having me. Good to see you, Ron. See you later. New projects are coming online to the mantle layer two every single week.
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